SSE: 601628 - China Life Insurance Company Limited

Price = EPS * (1 + CAGR EPS) / (Key Rate * Excess Key Rate)
EPS = Earning Per Share
CAGR EPS = CAGR 5 EPS
Key Rate — 关键利率
Excess Key Rate — 期望超出关键利率
EPS = 0.7469
CAGR EPS = -18.37%
Key Rate = 0.0458
Excess Key Rate = 2
Price = 0.7469 * (1 + -18.37%) / (0.0458 * 2) = 6.66

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - 价格公道
Terminal Value — 预测后期间的成本
Company Value — 预测期内的成本
Count shares - 股份数量
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Discount Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
Discount Ebitda(5) = 45.07
Ebitda Yield = 0
WACC = (Interest Expense / Debt) * (Weight Cost Debt) * (1 - Tax) + Cost Of Equity * Weight Debt
Interest Expense - 偿债成本
Debt - 责任
Weight Debt - 相对于债务的资本权重
Weight Cost Debt - 债务权重相对于资本总额
Tax - 税
Interest Expense = 4.86
Debt = 128.73
Market Cap = 832.08
Weight Debt = Market Cap / (Market Cap + Debt) = 832.08 / (832.08 + 128.73) = 0.866
Weight Cost Debt = 100% - 0.866 = 0.134
Tax = 0.21
Cost Of Equity — 贴现率
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — 无风险回报率
β (beta) — 确定股票（资产）相对于市场的风险度量，并显示股票盈利能力变化相对于市场盈利能力变化的敏感性。
Risk Premium — 风险溢价——投资股票的风险溢价
Country Premium - 国家风险
k(f) = 2.75
β = 1.66
Risk Premium = 5.94
Country Premium = 0
Cost Of Equity = 2.75 + 1.66 * 5.94 + 0 = 0.1262
WACC = (4.86 / 128.73) * (100% - 0.866) * (1 - 0.21) + 0.1262 + 0.866 = 3.07
Terminal Value = Discount (45.07 * (1 + 0) / (3.07 - 0)) = 1263.98
Company Value = ∑ (45.07 / (1 + 3.07) ^ 5) = 206.02
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares = (1263.98 + 206.02) / 28264710000 = 52.01

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - 价格公道
Terminal Value — 预测后期间的成本
Company Value — 预测期内的成本
Count shares - 股份数量
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Discount FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
Discount FCF(5) = 503.16
FCF Yield = 0.0555
WACC = (Interest Expense / Debt) * (Weight Cost Debt) * (1 - Tax) + Cost Of Equity * Weight Debt
Interest Expense - 偿债成本
Debt - 责任
Weight Debt - 相对于债务的资本权重
Weight Cost Debt - 债务权重相对于资本总额
Tax - 税
Interest Expense = 4.86
Debt = 128.73
Market Cap = 832.08
Weight Debt = Market Cap / (Market Cap + Debt) = 832.08 / (832.08 + 128.73) = 0.866
Weight Cost Debt = 100% - 0.866 = 0.134
Tax = 0.21
Cost Of Equity — 贴现率
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — 无风险回报率
β (beta) — 确定股票（资产）相对于市场的风险度量，并显示股票盈利能力变化相对于市场盈利能力变化的敏感性。
Risk Premium — 风险溢价——投资股票的风险溢价
Country Premium - 国家风险
k(f) = 2.75
β = 1.66
Risk Premium = 5.94
Country Premium = 0
Cost Of Equity = 2.75 + 1.66 * 5.94 + 0 = 0.1262
WACC = (4.86 / 128.73) * (100% - 0.866) * (1 - 0.21) + 0.1262 + 0.866 = 3.07
Terminal Value = Discount (503.16 * (1 + 0.0555) / (3.07 - 0.0555)) = 18377.44
Company Value = ∑ (503.16 / (1 + 3.07) ^ 5) = 2063.75
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares = (18377.44 + 2063.75) / 28264710000 = 723.21