HKEX: 1401 - Sprocomm Intelligence Limited

Price = EPS * (1 + CAGR EPS) / (Key Rate * Excess Key Rate)
EPS = Earning Per Share
CAGR EPS = CAGR 5 EPS
Key Rate — 关键利率
Excess Key Rate — 期望超出关键利率
EPS = 0.0357
CAGR EPS = 52.46%
Key Rate = 0.0433
Excess Key Rate = 2
Price = 0.0357 * (1 + 52.46%) / (0.0433 * 2) = 0.6285

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - 价格公道
Terminal Value — 预测后期间的成本
Company Value — 预测期内的成本
Count shares - 股份数量
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Discount Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
Discount Ebitda(5) = 0.0488
Ebitda Yield = -0.0325
WACC = (Interest Expense / Debt) * (Weight Cost Debt) * (1 - Tax) + Cost Of Equity * Weight Debt
Interest Expense - 偿债成本
Debt - 责任
Weight Debt - 相对于债务的资本权重
Weight Cost Debt - 债务权重相对于资本总额
Tax - 税
Interest Expense = 0.0395
Debt = 0.0577
Market Cap = 1.57
Weight Debt = Market Cap / (Market Cap + Debt) = 1.57 / (1.57 + 0.0577) = 0.9646
Weight Cost Debt = 100% - 0.9646 = 0.0354
Tax = 0.25
Cost Of Equity — 贴现率
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — 无风险回报率
β (beta) — 确定股票（资产）相对于市场的风险度量，并显示股票盈利能力变化相对于市场盈利能力变化的敏感性。
Risk Premium — 风险溢价——投资股票的风险溢价
Country Premium - 国家风险
k(f) = -0.7
β = -2.83
Risk Premium = 18.88
Country Premium = 0.91
Cost Of Equity = -0.7 + -2.83 * 18.88 + 0.91 = -0.5316
WACC = (0.0395 / 0.0577) * (100% - 0.9646) * (1 - 0.25) + -0.5316 + 0.9646 = 50.34
Terminal Value = Discount (0.0488 * (1 + -0.0325) / (50.34 - -0.0325)) = 0.0115
Company Value = ∑ (0.0488 / (1 + 50.34) ^ 5) = 0.0925
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares = (0.0115 + 0.0925) / 1000000000 = 0.104

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - 价格公道
Terminal Value — 预测后期间的成本
Company Value — 预测期内的成本
Count shares - 股份数量
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Discount FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
Discount FCF(5) = 20.47
FCF Yield = 0.6488
WACC = (Interest Expense / Debt) * (Weight Cost Debt) * (1 - Tax) + Cost Of Equity * Weight Debt
Interest Expense - 偿债成本
Debt - 责任
Weight Debt - 相对于债务的资本权重
Weight Cost Debt - 债务权重相对于资本总额
Tax - 税
Interest Expense = 0.0395
Debt = 0.0577
Market Cap = 1.57
Weight Debt = Market Cap / (Market Cap + Debt) = 1.57 / (1.57 + 0.0577) = 0.9646
Weight Cost Debt = 100% - 0.9646 = 0.0354
Tax = 0.25
Cost Of Equity — 贴现率
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — 无风险回报率
β (beta) — 确定股票（资产）相对于市场的风险度量，并显示股票盈利能力变化相对于市场盈利能力变化的敏感性。
Risk Premium — 风险溢价——投资股票的风险溢价
Country Premium - 国家风险
k(f) = -0.7
β = -2.83
Risk Premium = 18.88
Country Premium = 0.91
Cost Of Equity = -0.7 + -2.83 * 18.88 + 0.91 = -0.5316
WACC = (0.0395 / 0.0577) * (100% - 0.9646) * (1 - 0.25) + -0.5316 + 0.9646 = 50.34
Terminal Value = Discount (20.47 * (1 + 0.6488) / (50.34 - 0.6488)) = 30.22
Company Value = ∑ (20.47 / (1 + 50.34) ^ 5) = 11.18
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares = (30.22 + 11.18) / 1000000000 = 41.4