NYSE: CIEN - Ciena Corporation

Price = EPS * (1 + CAGR EPS) / (Key Rate * Excess Key Rate)
EPS = Earning Per Share
CAGR EPS = CAGR 5 EPS
Key Rate — 关键利率
Excess Key Rate — 期望超出关键利率
EPS = 0.5752
CAGR EPS = -24.34%
Key Rate = 0.0433
Excess Key Rate = 2
Price = 0.5752 * (1 + -24.34%) / (0.0433 * 2) = 5.03

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - 价格公道
Terminal Value — 预测后期间的成本
Company Value — 预测期内的成本
Count shares - 股份数量
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Discount Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
Discount Ebitda(5) = 0.216
Ebitda Yield = -0.0922
WACC = (Interest Expense / Debt) * (Weight Cost Debt) * (1 - Tax) + Cost Of Equity * Weight Debt
Interest Expense - 偿债成本
Debt - 责任
Weight Debt - 相对于债务的资本权重
Weight Cost Debt - 债务权重相对于资本总额
Tax - 税
Interest Expense = 0.097
Debt = 0.2372
Market Cap = 6.17
Weight Debt = Market Cap / (Market Cap + Debt) = 6.17 / (6.17 + 0.2372) = 0.963
Weight Cost Debt = 100% - 0.963 = 0.037
Tax = 0.21
Cost Of Equity — 贴现率
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — 无风险回报率
β (beta) — 确定股票（资产）相对于市场的风险度量，并显示股票盈利能力变化相对于市场盈利能力变化的敏感性。
Risk Premium — 风险溢价——投资股票的风险溢价
Country Premium - 国家风险
k(f) = 2.82
β = 0.3405
Risk Premium = 5.94
Country Premium = 0
Cost Of Equity = 2.82 + 0.3405 * 5.94 + 0 = 0.0484
WACC = (0.097 / 0.2372) * (100% - 0.963) * (1 - 0.21) + 0.0484 + 0.963 = 32.05
Terminal Value = Discount (0.216 * (1 + -0.0922) / (32.05 - -0.0922)) = 0.1183
Company Value = ∑ (0.216 / (1 + 32.05) ^ 5) = 0.6523
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares = (0.1183 + 0.6523) / 145960000 = 5.28

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - 价格公道
Terminal Value — 预测后期间的成本
Company Value — 预测期内的成本
Count shares - 股份数量
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Discount FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
Discount FCF(5) = 0.6163
FCF Yield = 0.0368
WACC = (Interest Expense / Debt) * (Weight Cost Debt) * (1 - Tax) + Cost Of Equity * Weight Debt
Interest Expense - 偿债成本
Debt - 责任
Weight Debt - 相对于债务的资本权重
Weight Cost Debt - 债务权重相对于资本总额
Tax - 税
Interest Expense = 0.097
Debt = 0.2372
Market Cap = 6.17
Weight Debt = Market Cap / (Market Cap + Debt) = 6.17 / (6.17 + 0.2372) = 0.963
Weight Cost Debt = 100% - 0.963 = 0.037
Tax = 0.21
Cost Of Equity — 贴现率
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — 无风险回报率
β (beta) — 确定股票（资产）相对于市场的风险度量，并显示股票盈利能力变化相对于市场盈利能力变化的敏感性。
Risk Premium — 风险溢价——投资股票的风险溢价
Country Premium - 国家风险
k(f) = 2.82
β = 0.3405
Risk Premium = 5.94
Country Premium = 0
Cost Of Equity = 2.82 + 0.3405 * 5.94 + 0 = 0.0484
WACC = (0.097 / 0.2372) * (100% - 0.963) * (1 - 0.21) + 0.0484 + 0.963 = 32.05
Terminal Value = Discount (0.6163 * (1 + 0.0368) / (32.05 - 0.0368)) = 0.5609
Company Value = ∑ (0.6163 / (1 + 32.05) ^ 5) = 1.32
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares = (0.5609 + 1.32) / 145960000 = 12.88